Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.209833 0.242773 0.279165 0.322352 0.372212 0.427979 0.495106
2025-09-21 0.154631 0.197888 0.250625 0.319650 0.407660 0.516201 0.660387
2025-09-28 0.127081 0.174391 0.236135 0.322623 0.440741 0.596599 0.818258
2025-10-05 0.112833 0.163921 0.234406 0.338763 0.489504 0.699680 1.015707
2025-10-12 0.100700 0.153704 0.230439 0.349637 0.530388 0.794734 1.211861
2025-10-19 0.090534 0.144434 0.225904 0.358013 0.567247 0.886599 1.412766
2025-10-26 0.081109 0.134733 0.219038 0.361220 0.595530 0.967379 1.604693
2025-11-02 0.071813 0.123842 0.208675 0.357051 0.610730 1.028128 1.770138
2025-11-09 0.062651 0.111896 0.194976 0.345322 0.611377 1.064189 1.897176
2025-11-16 0.058102 0.107255 0.192890 0.352914 0.645432 1.159392 2.135838
2025-11-23 0.053300 0.101525 0.188145 0.355020 0.669601 1.239279 2.355214
2025-11-30 0.049554 0.097252 0.185450 0.360373 0.699941 1.332823 2.609239
2025-12-07 0.044485 0.089952 0.176504 0.353219 0.706482 1.384105 2.791187
2025-12-14 0.040498 0.084308 0.170099 0.350286 0.720928 1.452087 3.014060
2025-12-21 0.037647 0.080597 0.167021 0.353543 0.747897 1.547058 3.301543
2025-12-28 0.036519 0.080317 0.170787 0.371228 0.806365 1.711338 3.751052
2026-01-04 0.034910 0.078806 0.171806 0.383143 0.853825 1.857580 4.178219
2026-01-11 0.033186 0.076833 0.171604 0.392321 0.896239 1.997302 4.606450
2026-01-18 0.031152 0.073916 0.169011 0.395835 0.926320 2.113107 4.993547
2026-01-25 0.028704 0.069754 0.163181 0.391267 0.937353 2.187419 5.292982
2026-02-01 0.025923 0.064483 0.154248 0.378415 0.927525 2.212961 5.479774
2026-02-08 0.024785 0.063066 0.154165 0.386733 0.969226 2.362816 5.983642
2026-02-15 0.023362 0.060776 0.151747 0.389041 0.996415 2.480749 6.421500